Tuesday Service Play Thread 08/17/2021

[BuzzKill]

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[BuzzKill]

Tokyo Brandon

304619) KIA Tigers at (304620) Doosan Bears
Game: (304619) KIA Tigers at (304620) Doosan Bears
Date/Time: Aug 17 2021 5:30 AM EDT
Play Rating: A%
Play: Doosan Bears -1.0 (-120)
These are two terrible pitchers starting, but Doosan has every advantage. Lee Young Ha has a 2+ WHIP this season but has not faced Kia which is the worst hitting team in the league. Kim Hyeon Su is a relief pitcher who can not go long against Doosan's big bats. I expect Doosan to give up a lot of run but score more. Take Doosan on the -1 alt run line. You can take them money line or 1.5 as well.

(304617) LG Twins at (304618) KT Wiz Suwon
Game: (304617) LG Twins at (304618) KT Wiz Suwon
Date/Time: Aug 17 2021 5:30 AM EDT
Play Rating: B%
Play: 1H Total Under 5.0 (-110)
Suarez and Bae are two excellent SPs who pitch very well against the other team. The team totals for 1st 5 equal 4 so even the Bookmakers know 5 is too high. These are excellent SPs and so-so lineups so it points to the under here. My numbers have it at 4.8.

(304611) NC Dinos at (304612) SSG Landers
Game: (304611) NC Dinos at (304612) SSG Landers
Date/Time: Aug 17 2021 5:30 AM EDT
Play Rating: A%
Play: NC Dinos +115
These are two struggling SPs who have been much worse they their careers. Oh has allowed 13 runs his last two starts and Song has a 6+ ERA and 1.67 WHIP. I think Song is the better pitcher pitcher though looking at FIP and K:BB rates. NC are the current champs and have the lineup and bullpen advantages. This is worth a small play on NC as a dog.

(304137) Hanshin Tigers at (304138) Yokohama Baystars
Game: (304137) Hanshin Tigers at (304138) Yokohama Baystars
Date/Time: Aug 17 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Play Rating: B%
Play: 1H Hanshin Tigers -135
Aoyagi is clearly the better SP and the Tigers are the best 1st 5 run producing team in the league. Aoyagi's stats are a bit skewed because the manager for Hanshin is not good and leaves him in too long. Most of his ERs are after the first 5. Take Hanshin and the 1st 5 money line or run line.

(304141) Hiroshima Carp at (304142) Chunichi Dragons
Game: (304141) Hiroshima Carp at (304142) Chunichi Dragons
Date/Time: Aug 17 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Play Rating: C%
Play: 1H Hiroshima Carp Total Over 1.5 (-110)
Fukutani has struggled against Hiroshima in his career and has a 7+ ERA against them this season. He also has a 4.10 ERA at home. The number is skewed because the Dragons games all go under but the matchup says this is way too low. Take Hiroshima 1st 5 Over 1.5.

 

[BuzzKill]

Stephen Oh

TORONTO @ WASHINGTON | 08/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
TORONTO -177
ANALYSIS: My model says the Blue Jays win in almost 70 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Toronto split the first six contests of its eight-game road trip and now faces a Washington team that has lost seven straight and 12 of its last 13. The Nationals also have dropped seven in a row at home and allowed 22 runs while losing three against Atlanta over the weekend. Washington RHP Erick Fedde is winless in his last 10 starts. Take the Blue Jays.

 

[bribux]

dubaibets asia

ENGLAND: League Two
Bristol Rovers – Oldham
Oldham +0 @ 2.40

 

[BuzzKill]

The Prez

D% - Houston Astros RL - Action

 

[BuzzKill]

mega-bet-ticket

Cusco Carlos – Mannucci : Over 2 @ 1.70
Sheriff Tiraspol – D. Zagreb : Over 2 @ 1.73
Total Odds : 2.94

 

[BuzzKill]

james-martingale

ENGLAND: League One
Morecambe – Rotherham
Second Half : Over 1.5 Goals
Odds : 2.20 / 2 units

 

[BuzzKill]

Alan Scozzari Sport

Guaranteed B Wager
Champions League
Shakhtar Donetsk (Ukr) +0,5 +1

 

[BuzzKill]

Larry Hartstein

CHI. CUBS @ CINCINNATI | 08/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Reds own a .781 OPS versus right-handed pitching, best in MLB, and tonight they face a struggling Kyle Hendricks. The current Cincy roster has a .603 slugging percentage and .984 OPS against Hendricks. Reds starter Vladimir Gutierrez is 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in his last three starts. With the Cubs on a 12-game skid, I'm playing the Reds -1.5 runs at +115.

TORONTO @ WASHINGTON | 08/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
TORONTO -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Nats have lost seven straight and 12 of 13, and they have a run differential that's 184 runs worse than the Blue Jays. Erick Fedde has been lit up over his last four starts (6.08 ERA) while Toronto's Alek Manoah has been dynamite over his last six (1.53 ERA). The Blue Jays sport a .788 OPS against right-handed pitching, second-best in the majors. Play Toronto -1.5 runs at -130.

 

[BuzzKill]

ASA

D* Toronto Blue Jays runline

 

[jpearl]

Vernon Croy- Blue Jays U9.5 (4U)

 

[jpearl]

Allen East man- Blue Jays RL -110 (4U)

 

[jpearl]

Esparza- UANL Tigres -130 (4U)

 

[jpearl]

Indian Cowboy- Toluca O2.5 -110 (3U)

 

[jpearl]

Docs- San Jose PK -140 (4U)

 

[Laupau]

Vernon Croy WNBA
E* Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)

 

[onetrikpony]

Insider Sports Report

4* San Francisco (Webb) -150 over N.Y. Mets (Stroman)
Range: -135 to -175

3* Cincinnati (Gutierrez) -150 over Chicago Cubs (Hendricks)
Range: -135 to -175

 

[BuzzKill]

Kyle Akins

OAKLAND @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 08/17 | 8:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX +101
ANALYSIS: Chicago is a home underdog in this matchup between the American League's top two teams because of the pitching matchup. That is a mistake. While Chicago is starting Reynaldo Lopez, he hasn't lasted for more than three innings in a game this season. Lopez produced three scoreless innings in his last start in a 1-0 loss to Minnesota, and the White Sox are 7-0 since August of 2018 when Lopez starts at home after pitching for less than five innings in his previous start. I predict Chicago wins this one by two runs.

 

[BuzzKill]

John Bollman

CHI. CUBS @ CINCINNATI | 08/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -172
ANALYSIS: The Cubs have now lost 12 straight games and they are 21-41 on the road. They are 1-15 since the trade deadline and Kyle Hendricks was hit hard by the Reds the last time he faced them, and hit hard by the Brewers in his last start. Vladimir Gutierrez is 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in August and he pitched well against the Cubs both times he faced them this season. The Reds didn’t need to use any of their best relievers last night and now they are just 1.5 games out of the Wild Card. As long as we keep getting a ML under -200 against the Cubs, we are taking it. Especially when they’re on the road.

BOSTON @ N.Y. YANKEES | 08/17 | 1:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -121
ANALYSIS: The Yankees are on fire right now but the Red Sox have owned this matchup so far this season. This will be the first matchup since the trade deadline and with the Yankees just 1.5 games back, you know Yankee Stadium will be rockin. Jordan Montgomery has faced the Red Sox three times this season and was one out away from three quality starts. Tanner Houck has been good but he struggles with walks and he doesn’t get deep into games. Take the value on the Yankees at home.

 

[BuzzKill]

Matt Severance

L.A. ANGELS @ DETROIT | 08/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
DETROIT -121
ANALYSIS: Could be history tonight as Detroit's Miguel Cabrera is one homer shy of 500 career. The Tigers were off Monday and are 7-1 in their past eight following an off day, but this is more about fading the Angels, who are playing in their third city in three nights (Anaheim, New York, Detroit), and their pitcher, Dylan Bundy. He is 2-9 with 6.21 ERA in 17 starts this year and 1-6 with a 7.48 ERA in night games. I expect this ML to rise a bit during the day.